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	<title>Comments on: More on My Light Rail Bet</title>
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	<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html</link>
	<description>Dispatches from a Small Business</description>
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		<title>By: Alexander Holt</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4306</link>
		<dc:creator>Alexander Holt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Dec 2006 20:41:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4306</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;There is one that I think you got wrong in your analysis.   The system had $2.5 billion in capital costs.   That number directly impacts the $252 million dollar year operating lost (amoritizing the loan/bonds).   Then you say that you could buy all the riders (125,000) a Prius or whatever with that $2.5 Billion and pay for the gasoline yearly with the $252 million.   But that using the $2.5 billion twice.  &lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is one that I think you got wrong in your analysis.   The system had $2.5 billion in capital costs.   That number directly impacts the $252 million dollar year operating lost (amoritizing the loan/bonds).   Then you say that you could buy all the riders (125,000) a Prius or whatever with that $2.5 Billion and pay for the gasoline yearly with the $252 million.   But that using the $2.5 billion twice.  </p>
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		<title>By: JohnDewey</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4305</link>
		<dc:creator>JohnDewey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Dec 2006 19:56:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4305</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;A few points to consider about light rail in general:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;1. Many light rail riders - as much as a third in Dallas - were riding buses without complaint before the trains started.  Their use of trains did nothing to reduce congestion or pollution.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;2. Many bus riders saw increased commute times after trains started, as bus routes were rerouted to feed trains and increase reported train ridership.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;3. Transit authorities count each one-way, unlinked trip as an additional rider, intentionally obscuring the fact that the number of people using trains is less than half their reported ridership.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;4. Free parking at transit stations leads many car commuters to utilize teh last few stops as parking garages to avoid downtown parking fees.  These &quot;riders&quot; are really car commuters whose parking costs are subsidized by taxpayers.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;5. Pollution from heavy equipment used to build the rail lines will exceed many years of the reduction in commuter pollution.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;6. Congestion around transit stations increases the overall pollution in a city.  So does the traffic stoppage and traffic rerouting during both construction of tracks and operation of trains.  Together with the heavy equipment increase in 5. above, the added pollution likely exceeds any &quot;green&quot; benefits of light rail. &lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A few points to consider about light rail in general:</p>
<p>1. Many light rail riders &#8211; as much as a third in Dallas &#8211; were riding buses without complaint before the trains started.  Their use of trains did nothing to reduce congestion or pollution.</p>
<p>2. Many bus riders saw increased commute times after trains started, as bus routes were rerouted to feed trains and increase reported train ridership.</p>
<p>3. Transit authorities count each one-way, unlinked trip as an additional rider, intentionally obscuring the fact that the number of people using trains is less than half their reported ridership.</p>
<p>4. Free parking at transit stations leads many car commuters to utilize teh last few stops as parking garages to avoid downtown parking fees.  These &#8220;riders&#8221; are really car commuters whose parking costs are subsidized by taxpayers.</p>
<p>5. Pollution from heavy equipment used to build the rail lines will exceed many years of the reduction in commuter pollution.</p>
<p>6. Congestion around transit stations increases the overall pollution in a city.  So does the traffic stoppage and traffic rerouting during both construction of tracks and operation of trains.  Together with the heavy equipment increase in 5. above, the added pollution likely exceeds any &#8220;green&#8221; benefits of light rail. </p>
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		<title>By: Zoran Lazarevic</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4304</link>
		<dc:creator>Zoran Lazarevic</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Dec 2006 17:27:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4304</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;New York City subway actually decreased the density of the city. Manhattan had the highest population in 1904 when the subway opened and allowed working poor to migrate to the Bronx, and later Queens and Brooklyn.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;However, I still use a car when going downtown in the evenings and weekends. Trying to use a car on a workday 9-5 is usually slow and expensive for parking.&lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>New York City subway actually decreased the density of the city. Manhattan had the highest population in 1904 when the subway opened and allowed working poor to migrate to the Bronx, and later Queens and Brooklyn.</p>
<p>However, I still use a car when going downtown in the evenings and weekends. Trying to use a car on a workday 9-5 is usually slow and expensive for parking.</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4303</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Dec 2006 06:28:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4303</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;I am particularly enjoying your analysis of this issue, and would appreciate it if you could look at some of the other alleged selling points of light rail, such as reduced pollution.&lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am particularly enjoying your analysis of this issue, and would appreciate it if you could look at some of the other alleged selling points of light rail, such as reduced pollution.</p>
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		<title>By: murraymises</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4302</link>
		<dc:creator>murraymises</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Dec 2006 23:26:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4302</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Check out &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2004/c/pages/light_rail.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this report&lt;/a&gt; from the Federal Reserve Bank in St. Louis. It estimates â€œthe annual light-rail subsidies [in St. Louis] could instead be used to buy an environmentally friendly hybrid Toyota Prius every five years for each poor rider and even to pay annual maintenance costs of $6,000.â€ Not just any car, a Toyota Prius. &lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Check out <a href="http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2004/c/pages/light_rail.html" rel="nofollow">this report</a> from the Federal Reserve Bank in St. Louis. It estimates â€œthe annual light-rail subsidies [in St. Louis] could instead be used to buy an environmentally friendly hybrid Toyota Prius every five years for each poor rider and even to pay annual maintenance costs of $6,000.â€ Not just any car, a Toyota Prius. </p>
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		<title>By: Ironman</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4301</link>
		<dc:creator>Ironman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Dec 2006 21:11:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4301</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;One of the places that you would expect rail to work for commuting would be up in Seattle - here, you have a well-defined downtown area, high density population and a very &quot;pro-mass transit&quot; population, at least as measured by how they vote for light-rail and mass transit initiatives.  &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In practice, it&#039;s a &lt;a href=&quot;http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2005/05/linear-cities.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;near complete failure&lt;/a&gt; - ridership is nowhere near the projections used to justify the expense, and even with costs sunk, it&#039;s nowhere near operational profitability.  Economically speaking, of all the ways to transport people between cities, rail is perhaps the stupidest. Nowhere else do we see the confluence of extraordinarily high infrastructure costs (land, construction, equipment, facilities, etc.) and extraordinarily high operating costs (labor, maintenance, fuel, utilities, overhead, etc.) combine with extraordinarily low demand by commuters to produce such little tangible benefit.  The bottom line: rail sucks.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Just a thought - once you get the numbers (and win the bet), maybe you could use the proceeds to sponsor &lt;a href=&quot;http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2006/09/initiative-mischief.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this mass transit initiative&lt;/a&gt;....&lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the places that you would expect rail to work for commuting would be up in Seattle &#8211; here, you have a well-defined downtown area, high density population and a very &#8220;pro-mass transit&#8221; population, at least as measured by how they vote for light-rail and mass transit initiatives.  </p>
<p>In practice, it&#8217;s a <a href="http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2005/05/linear-cities.html" rel="nofollow">near complete failure</a> &#8211; ridership is nowhere near the projections used to justify the expense, and even with costs sunk, it&#8217;s nowhere near operational profitability.  Economically speaking, of all the ways to transport people between cities, rail is perhaps the stupidest. Nowhere else do we see the confluence of extraordinarily high infrastructure costs (land, construction, equipment, facilities, etc.) and extraordinarily high operating costs (labor, maintenance, fuel, utilities, overhead, etc.) combine with extraordinarily low demand by commuters to produce such little tangible benefit.  The bottom line: rail sucks.</p>
<p>Just a thought &#8211; once you get the numbers (and win the bet), maybe you could use the proceeds to sponsor <a href="http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2006/09/initiative-mischief.html" rel="nofollow">this mass transit initiative</a>&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew Brown</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4300</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Brown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Dec 2006 18:29:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4300</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;I should point out that I&#039;m a hardcore railfan and I still don&#039;t see the point of most light rail implementations.  The fact is that American cities once had extensive urban and suburban rail service and they mostly closed down because once the car became affordable, nobody used the rail service.  Sure, people mourned the closure of Pacific Electric or the Key System, but the fact is that they did not ride them - they wanted them around, but not on their dime.  Urban and interurban electric railways seemed like a good idea when the competition was walking, horses and full-size steam railroads, but against cars there was no contest.  &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Rubber-tired buses are also preferable; cheaper, better economies of scale, need less capital investment, can reroute around obstacles, and can go anywhere.  Even dedicated busways make more sense than light rail, although I&#039;m not convinced the capital investment makes sense there either.&lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I should point out that I&#8217;m a hardcore railfan and I still don&#8217;t see the point of most light rail implementations.  The fact is that American cities once had extensive urban and suburban rail service and they mostly closed down because once the car became affordable, nobody used the rail service.  Sure, people mourned the closure of Pacific Electric or the Key System, but the fact is that they did not ride them &#8211; they wanted them around, but not on their dime.  Urban and interurban electric railways seemed like a good idea when the competition was walking, horses and full-size steam railroads, but against cars there was no contest.  </p>
<p>Rubber-tired buses are also preferable; cheaper, better economies of scale, need less capital investment, can reroute around obstacles, and can go anywhere.  Even dedicated busways make more sense than light rail, although I&#8217;m not convinced the capital investment makes sense there either.</p>
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		<title>By: Matthew Brown</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4299</link>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Brown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Dec 2006 18:21:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4299</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;In LA, in fact, the three light rail lines are largely on dedicated rights-of-way; the Green Line has a dedicated right of way built into the center of the 105 freeway for most of its length and an elevated right-of-way for the remainder of its run.  &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;(Incidentally, much of the point of this line was lost when the MTA caved to political pressure and did not connect the Green Line with LAX airport directly.  The pressure was from airport parking, car rental and taxi interests.  Tourists and visitors are a constituency most likely to use public transport if it&#039;s good enough.  It also did not connect with the I-5 and the Metrolink trains on the other end of its run as originally envisaged as well)&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The Blue Line runs on streets at both ends of its run (Downtown LA and Long Beach, respectively) but runs on what was once the Pacific Electric dedicated right-of-way for most of the rest of the run.  The Red Line also has its own dedicated right-of-way, underground for the first half.  The Gold Line to Pasadena runs on railroad trackage as well.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Thus Los Angeles experience is not comparable at all with street-running light rail, and is a more desirable (albeit, I&#039;m sure, more expensive) system.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;LA also has an extensive urban population who use transit extensively.  It&#039;s still notable that bus riders, the Bus Riders&#039; Union, sued the MTA to halt rail construction and use the money on less expensive and more widely-used bus service improvements.&lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In LA, in fact, the three light rail lines are largely on dedicated rights-of-way; the Green Line has a dedicated right of way built into the center of the 105 freeway for most of its length and an elevated right-of-way for the remainder of its run.  </p>
<p>(Incidentally, much of the point of this line was lost when the MTA caved to political pressure and did not connect the Green Line with LAX airport directly.  The pressure was from airport parking, car rental and taxi interests.  Tourists and visitors are a constituency most likely to use public transport if it&#8217;s good enough.  It also did not connect with the I-5 and the Metrolink trains on the other end of its run as originally envisaged as well)</p>
<p>The Blue Line runs on streets at both ends of its run (Downtown LA and Long Beach, respectively) but runs on what was once the Pacific Electric dedicated right-of-way for most of the rest of the run.  The Red Line also has its own dedicated right-of-way, underground for the first half.  The Gold Line to Pasadena runs on railroad trackage as well.</p>
<p>Thus Los Angeles experience is not comparable at all with street-running light rail, and is a more desirable (albeit, I&#8217;m sure, more expensive) system.</p>
<p>LA also has an extensive urban population who use transit extensively.  It&#8217;s still notable that bus riders, the Bus Riders&#8217; Union, sued the MTA to halt rail construction and use the money on less expensive and more widely-used bus service improvements.</p>
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		<title>By: Rob</title>
		<link>http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html/comment-page-1#comment-4298</link>
		<dc:creator>Rob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Dec 2006 18:18:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/2006/12/more_on_my_ligh.html#comment-4298</guid>
		<description>&lt;p&gt;Light rail sucks in San Jose.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;-Ridership is low.&lt;br /&gt;
-It screws up surface streets - they couldn&#039;t be bothered to elevate, excavate the rails or suitably adjust the streets.  They share and that sucks.&lt;br /&gt;
-It is slow relative to auto travel (see above about streets).  If you want me to use it, it has to superior to my current solution, a car.  I used it now and then, when I was attending San Jose State and worked along the line.  This is when I learned that I could regularly &quot;beat&quot; the train when going to school.&lt;br /&gt;
-Schedules suck.  The subway is useful because the wait time between trains is not bad.  This is due to decent ridership - which we don&#039;t have.&lt;br /&gt;
-IT DOESN&#039;T PAY FOR ITSELF.  I should have said this first and left it at that.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Again, municipal rail systems suck without high ridership, which is engendered by high population density.  It is something for bored transit and urban planner folks to do.&lt;/p&gt;

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Light rail sucks in San Jose.</p>
<p>-Ridership is low.<br />
-It screws up surface streets &#8211; they couldn&#8217;t be bothered to elevate, excavate the rails or suitably adjust the streets.  They share and that sucks.<br />
-It is slow relative to auto travel (see above about streets).  If you want me to use it, it has to superior to my current solution, a car.  I used it now and then, when I was attending San Jose State and worked along the line.  This is when I learned that I could regularly &#8220;beat&#8221; the train when going to school.<br />
-Schedules suck.  The subway is useful because the wait time between trains is not bad.  This is due to decent ridership &#8211; which we don&#8217;t have.<br />
-IT DOESN&#8217;T PAY FOR ITSELF.  I should have said this first and left it at that.</p>
<p>Again, municipal rail systems suck without high ridership, which is engendered by high population density.  It is something for bored transit and urban planner folks to do.</p>
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